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Report

The Impending Crime Wave:

Four Dangerous New Trends and How to Stop Them

Author: Jim Kessler, Rachel Laser, Michael Earls, and Nikki Yamashiro
In The Culture Program

Abstract

This study identifies four new sociological trends that together could bring a huge new wave in crime and offers more than 100 specific, federal, state and local policy options that can be tailored to create a 21st century crime-fighting agenda.

Description

In The Impending Crime Wave, Third Way describes the convergence of four new and menacing sociological trends, which, together with the recent federal disengagement from crime-fighting, threaten a new and devastating wave of crime in America. These trends include:

•The Reentry Explosion: In this decade, nearly 7 million prisoners, 700,000 in the next year alone, are poised to reenter their communities.

•The Lengthening Shadow of Illegal Immigration: A shadow economy that both serves and exploits illegal immigrants is large and growing, and a small but violent minority of illegal immigrants are themselves offenders.

•The Sprawling Parentless Neighborhood of the Internet: Technology, in particular the explosion of online social networking, is exposing increasing numbers of young children and teenagers to a surge in sexual predation on the Internet.

•The Surging Youth Population: Young people commit far more crimes than the general population, and the demographic bulge in young people, if not effectively addressed, will account for about 2.5 million more crimes by 2012.

The paper offers more than 100 specific, federal, state and local policy options that can be tailored to create a 21st century crime-fighting agenda.

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